Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Villa Park
Brentford

Aston Villa vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Newcastle 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
Brentford 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Kevin Schade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw has a probability of 21.64% and a win for Brentford has a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Brentford win it is 1-2 (5.31%).

Result

Aston Villa 57.88% ▲ (+0.92)
Draw 21.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Brentford 20.48% ▼ (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.01% ▲ (+1.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.92% ▲ (+1.29)
Under 1.5 20.08% ▼ (-1.29)
Over 2.5 57.64% ▲ (+1.78)
Under 2.5 42.36% ▼ (-1.78)
Over 3.5 35.24% ▲ (+1.53)
Under 3.5 64.73% ▼ (-1.55)
Over 4.5 21.66% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 4.5 78.34% ▼ (-1.25)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 41.09% ▲ (+1.64)
Draw 39.22% ▲ (+0.38)
Brentford 19.69% ▼ (-2.01)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 59.58% ▲ (+3.51)
No Goal 4.95% ▼ (-0.40)
Brentford 35.47% ▼ (-3.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.14% ▼ (-2.23)
Equal 8 11.64% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 33.22% ▲ (+2.18)
Over 9 43.52% ▼ (-2.09)
Equal 9 11.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 44.86% ▲ (+2.23)
Over 10.5 32.87% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 10.5 67.13% ▲ (+1.79)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 56.25% ▲ (+1.65)
Under 1.5 43.75% ▼ (-1.65)
Over 2.5 29.84% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 2.5 70.16% ▼ (-1.60)
Over 3.5 12.93% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 3.5 87.07% ▼ (-0.77)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 57.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 25.14% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 74.86% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 2.5 8.44% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 91.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 2.32% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 97.68% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 57.88%
Draw 21.65%
Brentford 20.48%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.32)
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 12.8% ▲ (+0.71)
Total : 57.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% ▼ (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.40)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 21.65%
Brentford
1-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.55)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 20.48%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Brentford
Sep 16, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
Premier League
Brentford
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
Premier League Gameweek 28
Brentford
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Kristoffer Ajer 67' yellowcard
  • Nathan Collins 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 42'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 49'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 81'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Aston Villa
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Morgan Rogers 21' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 28' goal
  • Matty Cash 34' goal
  • Jhon Duran 65' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Pinnock 25'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 49'
  • goal Mikkel Damsgaard 54'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Aston Villa
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Brentford
  • Ollie Watkins 38' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 46' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 80' goal
  • Diego Carlos 84' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikkel Damsgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 53'
  • goal Mathias Jorgensen 59'
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 61'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 68'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Brentford
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa
  • Keane Lewis-Potter 45' goal
  • Christian Norgaard 46' yellowcard
  • Thomas Frank 47' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 71' redcard
  • Saman Ghoddos 86' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 88' yellowcard
  • Frank Onyeka 90' yellowcard
  • Neal Maupay 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Yehor Yarmolyuk 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Moreno 77'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 80'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 85'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 86'
  • yellowcard Jhon Duran 87'
  • redcard Boubacar Kamara 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+8'

Form Data

Aston Villa 3 - 2 Salzburg
Newcastle 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Everton
Spurs 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Brentford 0 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 0 - 0 Brentford
Sheff Weds 0 - 0 Brentford
Brentford 3 - 0 Sunderland
Everton 0 - 0 Brentford
Brentford 0 - 0 Spurs

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