Europa League Gameweek 8
Jan 29, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 5.45pm
Fenerbahce 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Salzburg 3 - 1 Basel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg has a probability of 26.31% and a draw has a probability of 22.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win is 0-1 (6.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.99%).

Result

Aston Villa 51.67% (-0.93)
Draw 22.02% (+0.27)
Red Bull Salzburg 26.31% (+0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% (+1.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.32% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 23.68% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 53.36% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 46.64% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 31.38% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 68.62% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 19.29% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 80.71% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 34.32%
Draw 41.3%
Red Bull Salzburg 24.38%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 52.76% (+0.11)
No Goal 6.6% (-0.17)
Red Bull Salzburg 40.64% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 55.24%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 33.79%
Over 9 44.3%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 44.76%
Over 10.5 34.22%
Under 10.5 65.78%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 48.51% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 51.49% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 23.48% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 76.52% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 9.78% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 90.22% (+0.16)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 57.93% (+1.47)
Under 0.5 42.07% (-1.47)
Over 1.5 28.07% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 71.93% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 11.34% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 88.66% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 3.81% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 96.19% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 51.67%
Draw 22.02%
Red Bull Salzburg 26.31%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.43)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.11)
Other @ 9.75% (-0.17)
Total : 51.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 22.02%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 6.19% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.13% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.59% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.78% (+0.04)
Total : 26.31%