Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Red Bull Salzburg vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 Salzburg

Basel

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Basel has a probability of 33.55% and a draw has a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.13%) and 3-1 (5.94%). The likeliest Basel win is 1-2 (6.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.18%).

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 46.5%
Draw 19.95%
Basel 33.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.37%
Under 1.5 13.63%
Over 2.5 68.75%
Under 2.5 31.25%
Over 3.5 49.42%
Under 3.5 50.58%
Over 4.5 32.76%
Under 4.5 67.24%

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 41.46%
Draw 28.21%
Basel 30.34%

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 57.99%
No Goal 2.81%
Basel 39.2%

Corners

Over 8 66.38%
Equal 8 9.94%
Under 8 23.68%
Over 9 55.56%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 33.62%
Over 10.5 44.7%
Under 10.5 55.3%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 53%
Under 1.5 47%
Over 2.5 28.7%
Under 2.5 71.3%
Over 3.5 13.2%
Under 3.5 86.8%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 69.88%
Under 0.5 30.12%
Over 1.5 42.48%
Under 1.5 57.52%
Over 2.5 20.95%
Under 2.5 79.05%
Over 3.5 9.67%
Under 3.5 90.33%

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 46.5%
Draw 19.94%
Basel 33.55%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.6%
1-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 5.94%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 2.97%
Other @ 12.82%
Total : 46.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 2.81%
3-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.94%
Basel
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.68%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 9.29%
Total : 33.55%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 20, 2014 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Soriano 22' goal
  • Alan 54' yellowcard
  • Rodnei 63' yellowcard
  • Andre Ramalho 78' yellowcard
  • Alan 86' redcard
  • Christoph Leitgeb 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Streller 9'
  • redcard Marek Suchy 9'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Sio 39'
  • goal Marco Streller 51'
  • yellowcard Arlind Ajeti 54'
  • goal Gaston Sauro 60'
  • yellowcard Philipp Degen 88'
Europa League
Mar 13, 2014 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serey Die 16' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Sio 23' yellowcard
  • Philipp Degen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Hinteregger 16'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 20'
  • yellowcard Florian Klein 70'