Europa League Gameweek 7
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 4' goal
  • Kerim Alajbegovic 4' goal
  • Kerim-Sam Alajbegović 12' goal
  • Kerim Alajbegovic 12' goal
  • Frans Kratzig 35' goal
  • Frans Krätzig 35' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 58' yellowcard
  • Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 75' yellowcard
  • Moussa Yeo 76' yellowcard
  • Clement Bischoff 90' yellowcard
  • Karim Konate 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oliver Lukic 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Karim Konaté 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oliver Lukić 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Koba Koindredi 46'
  • yellowcard Albian Ajeti 46'
  • yellowcard Dion Kacuri 46'
  • goal Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo 56'
  • goal Jeremy Agbonifo 56'
  • yellowcard Marin Soticek 72'
  • yellowcard Moussa Cissé 89'

Red Bull Salzburg vs Basel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Freiburg 1 - 0 Salzburg

Basel

All competitions
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.2%) and 3-1 (5.62%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Red Bull Salzburg 47.29% (-0.03)
Draw 19.57% (+0.02)
Basel 33.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.59% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 13.43% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 69.29%
Under 2.5 30.71%
Over 3.5 48.56% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 51.44% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 32.9% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 67.1% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Red Bull Salzburg 41.48% (+0.05)
Draw 28.23% (-0.09)
Basel 30.29% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Red Bull Salzburg 57.1% (+0.03)
No Goal 2.85%
Basel 40.05% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.97% (-0.03)
Equal 8 10.16%
Under 8 25.88% (+0.03)
Over 9 53.13% (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.84%
Under 9 36.03% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 42.46% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 57.54% (+0.02)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 1.5 53.05%
Under 1.5 46.95%
Over 2.5 29.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 70.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.17% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 86.83% (+0.04)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 69.22% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 30.78% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 42.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 57.68% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.21% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.97% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 47.29%
Draw 19.58%
Basel 33.18%
Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.77% (-0.05)
Total : 47.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85%
3-3 @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 19.58%
Basel
1-2 @ 6.62% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 9.57% (+0.01)
Total : 33.18%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 20, 2014 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jonathan Soriano 22' goal
  • Alan 54' yellowcard
  • Rodnei 63' yellowcard
  • Andre Ramalho 78' yellowcard
  • Alan 86' redcard
  • Christoph Leitgeb 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Streller 9'
  • redcard Marek Suchy 9'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Sio 39'
  • goal Marco Streller 51'
  • yellowcard Arlind Ajeti 54'
  • goal Gaston Sauro 60'
  • yellowcard Philipp Degen 88'
Europa League
Mar 13, 2014 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serey Die 16' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Sio 23' yellowcard
  • Philipp Degen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Hinteregger 16'
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 20'
  • yellowcard Florian Klein 70'