Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.59% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 8.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.38%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.