Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 4.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 3 Man Utd
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mikel Merino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 1-0 (6.61%).

Result

Leeds United 21.45% (+1.02)
Draw 24.9% (-0.05)
Arsenal 53.65% (-0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.55% (+1.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.88% (+1.29)
Under 1.5 26.12% (-1.28)
Over 2.5 49.35% (+1.45)
Under 2.5 50.65% (-1.45)
Over 3.5 27.5% (+1.02)
Under 3.5 72.5% (-1.02)
Over 4.5 15.75% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 84.25% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 20.29% (+0.24)
Draw 41.61% (+0.25)
Arsenal 38.11% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 38.89% (+0.40)
No Goal 7.54% (-0.60)
Arsenal 53.57% (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 52.78% (+0.25)
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 36.04% (-0.25)
Over 9 41.81% (+0.22)
Equal 9 10.97% (+0.03)
Under 9 47.22% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 31.87% (+0.20)
Under 10.5 68.13% (-0.19)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 23.89% (+1.34)
Under 1.5 76.11% (-1.35)
Over 2.5 7.26% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 92.74% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 1.92% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 98.08% (-0.11)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 79.9% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 20.1% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 49.27% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 50.73% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 22.88% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 77.12% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 8.46% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 91.54% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Leeds United 21.45%
Draw 24.89%
Arsenal 53.65%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.61% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 5.64% (+0.32)
2-0 @ 3.1% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 1.74% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.07% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.77% (+0.11)
Total : 21.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.60)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.89%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 11.96% (-0.82)
0-2 @ 10.15% (-0.59)
1-2 @ 9.82% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 5.31% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 5.11% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.15)
Other @ 8.31% (+0.10)
Total : 53.65%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gabriel Jesus 35' goal
  • Ben White 47' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 55' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 84' goal
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 76'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Bukayo Saka 35'
Premier League Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Eddie Nketiah 5' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 10' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 16' yellowcard
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 64' yellowcard
  • redcard Luke Ayling 27'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 27'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 34'
  • goal Diego Llorente 66'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Joe Gelhardt 53' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 56' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 75' goal
  • Robin Koch 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 16'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 28'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 42'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 84'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 86'
EFL Cup
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Calum Chambers 55' goal
  • Cedric Soares 59' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 69' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 23'

Build-up

Feature