Premier League
Leeds
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road
Arsenal
  • Sean Longstaff 46' yellowcard
  • Noah Okafor 46' yellowcard
  • Facundo Buonanotte 71' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Gnonto 81' yellowcard
  • Joël Piroe 85' yellowcard
  • goal Martín Zubimendi 27'
  • goal Karl Darlow 38'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 61'
  • yellowcard Martin Ødegaard 61'
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 69'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 75'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 76'
  • yellowcard Eberechi Eze 81'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 86'

Leeds United vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 8.00pm
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 4.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 3 Man Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.89% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%) , while for a Leeds United win it was 1-0 (6.62%).

Result

Leeds United 22.08% ▲ (+0.59)
Draw 24.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Arsenal 52.99% ▼ (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% ▲ (+1.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.79% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 1.5 25.21% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 2.5 50.43% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 2.5 49.57% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 3.5 28.46% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 3.5 71.54% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 4.5 16.32% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 4.5 83.68% ▼ (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 20.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 41.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Arsenal 38.49%

Team To Score First

Leeds United 39.04% ▲ (+0.18)
No Goal 7.14% ▼ (-0.37)
Arsenal 53.82% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 52.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 36.16% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 41.71% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 10.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 47.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 31.78% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 10.5 68.22% ▼ (-0.07)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 2.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 2.04% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 97.96% ▼ (-0.09)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 80% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 20% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 49.55% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 50.45% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 23.16% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 76.84% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 8.64% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 91.36% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Leeds United 22.08%
Draw 24.88%
Arsenal 52.99%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.21)
2-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 22.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.37)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.88%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.51)
1-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.34)
1-3 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 52.99%

Head to Head

Premier League
Arsenal
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Gabriel Jesus 35' goal
  • Ben White 47' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 55' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 84' goal
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 76'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Leeds
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 35'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Arsenal
May 8, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Eddie Nketiah 5' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 10' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 16' yellowcard
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 64' yellowcard
  • redcard Luke Ayling 27'
  • yellowcard Raphinha 27'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 34'
  • goal Diego Llorente 66'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Leeds
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Arsenal
  • Joe Gelhardt 53' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 56' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 75' goal
  • Robin Koch 88' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 16'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 28'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 42'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 84'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 86'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Leeds
  • Calum Chambers 55' goal
  • Cedric Soares 59' yellowcard
  • Eddie Nketiah 69' goal
  • yellowcard Tyler Roberts 23'

Form Data

Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Fulham
Derby 1 - 1 Leeds
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Liverpool 0 - 0 Leeds
Arsenal 3 - 2 Kairat
Arsenal 2 - 3 Man Utd
Inter Milan 1 - 3 Arsenal
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal
Portsmouth 0 - 0 Arsenal

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups