Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.