Premier League
Jan 25, 2026 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Lisandro Martinez 29' goal
  • Lisandro Martínez 29' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 58' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 58' yellowcard
  • Ben White 58' yellowcard
  • Eberechi Eze 58' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyökeres 58' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 75' yellowcard
  • Mikel Merino 84' goal
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 37'
  • goal Patrick Dorgu 50'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 69'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Sesko 81'
  • goal Matheus Cunha 87'
  • yellowcard Noussair Mazraoui 88'

Arsenal vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Man Utd 2 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.96% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 61.56% (-0.04)
Draw 22.96% (-0.03)
Manchester United 15.45% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.98% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.23% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 27.77% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 47.99% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 52.01% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 26.94% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 73.06% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 16.48% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.52% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 44.05%
Draw 38.71% (+0.01)
Manchester United 17.24%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 64.66% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.19% (-0.08)
Manchester United 27.15% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.63%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 29.35%
Over 9 46.3%
Equal 9 12.33%
Under 9 41.37%
Over 10.5 34.77%
Under 10.5 65.23%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 53.19% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.81% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.5% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 73.5% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.84% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.16% (-0.04)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 48.62% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 51.38% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 17.13% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 82.87% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 4.4% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 95.6% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.04% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.96% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Arsenal 61.56%
Draw 22.97%
Manchester United 15.44%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 13.97% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 11.69% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.05% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.83% (+0.03)
Total : 61.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.33% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.97%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.15%
1-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Total : 15.44%

Head to Head

Premier League
Aug 17, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 45'+1'
  • goal Declan Rice 74'
FA Cup
Jan 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Arteta 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 63' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 70' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lisandro Martinez 29'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 38'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 49'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 52'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 56'
  • redcard Diogo Dalot 61'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 70'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2024 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Jurrien Maduro 54' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 66' yellowcard
  • William Saliba 73' goal
  • yellowcard Tyrell Malacia 44'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 51'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 26' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 81' goal
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 10'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • goal Leandro Trossard 20'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 71'
  • yellowcard David Raya 90'+4'

Build-up

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