Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.96% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%) , while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.