EFL Cup
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 69' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 69' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 60'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 60'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 60'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 75'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 87'

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal

Chelsea

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 53.06% (-0.09)
Draw 23.1% (+0.40)
Chelsea 23.83% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.55% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.77% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 20.23% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 57.96% (+1.21)
Under 2.5 42.04% (-1.21)
Over 3.5 34.03% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 65.97% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 20.7% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 79.3% (-0.68)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 40.23% (+0.51)
Draw 37.48% (-1.66)
Chelsea 22.3% (+1.15)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 60.74% (-0.15)
No Goal 5.21% (-0.31)
Chelsea 34.05% (+0.46)

Corners

Over 8 50.9% (+4.15)
Equal 8 11.92% (+0.39)
Under 8 37.19% (-4.52)
Over 9 39.38% (+3.43)
Equal 9 11.51% (+0.70)
Under 9 49.1% (-4.15)
Over 10.5 29.16% (+2.56)
Under 10.5 70.84% (-2.57)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 52.91% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 47.09% (-1.13)
Over 2.5 26.81% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 73.19% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 11% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 89% (-0.40)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 60.95% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 39.05% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 29.58% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 10.08% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 89.92% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 2.9% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.1% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Arsenal 53.07%
Draw 23.09%
Chelsea 23.84%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 10.33% (+0.35)
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.31% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.17)
Other @ 10.74% (+0.17)
Total : 53.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.6% (+0.39)
Other @ 0.26% (+0.22)
Total : 23.09%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.97% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.64% (-0.11)
Total : 23.84%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Benoit Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 53' yellowcard
  • Benoît Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 57' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 75' yellowcard
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 81' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 81' yellowcard
  • Shumaira Mheuka 81' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 83' goal
  • goal Ben White 7'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 49'
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 49'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 71'
  • goal Martín Zubimendi 71'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marc Cucurella 11' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 38' redcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 48' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 13'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 27'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 41'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 54'
  • goal Mikel Merino 59'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 88'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Merino 20' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 54' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 52'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 59'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Thiago Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 48' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 9'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 11'
  • goal Declan Rice 77'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 84'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 89'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'

Build-up

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