EFL Cup
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal

Chelsea

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
Chelsea 2 - 3 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 24.14% and a draw has a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.37%).

Result

Arsenal 53.15% (-0.29)
Draw 22.71% (+0.08)
Chelsea 24.14% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.68% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.9% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.1% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.76% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 43.24% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 33.28% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 20.03% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 79.97% (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 39.72%
Draw 39.13% (-0.13)
Chelsea 21.16% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 60.9% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.51% (-0.03)
Chelsea 33.59% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 46.75% (-0.76)
Equal 8 11.54% (-0.08)
Under 8 41.7% (+0.83)
Over 9 35.95% (-0.63)
Equal 9 10.8% (-0.13)
Under 9 53.25% (+0.76)
Over 10.5 26.6% (-0.48)
Under 10.5 73.4% (+0.49)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 51.77% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 48.23% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 26.26% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 73.74% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 10.61% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.39% (+0.08)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 60.52% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 39.48% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 29.04% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 70.96% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 9.26% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 90.74% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 2.78% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.22% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Arsenal 53.16%
Draw 22.7%
Chelsea 24.14%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.98%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.66% (+0.06)
Other @ 10.57% (-0.09)
Total : 53.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.37% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 22.7%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 6.95% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.74% (+0.07)
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Benoit Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 57' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 75' yellowcard
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 81' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 81' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 83' goal
  • goal Ben White 7'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 49'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 71'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marc Cucurella 11' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 38' redcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 48' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 13'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 27'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 41'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 54'
  • goal Mikel Merino 59'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 88'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Merino 20' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 54' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 52'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 59'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Thiago Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 48' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mikel Arteta 9'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 11'
  • goal Declan Rice 77'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 84'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nketiah 89'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+1'

Build-up

Feature