Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.06%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.