Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea

Pafos FC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Juventus 2 - 0 Pafos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw has a probability of 24.02% and a win for Pafos FC has a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Pafos FC win it is 0-1 (6.25%).

Result

Chelsea 55.19% (+1.83)
Draw 24.02% (+0.24)
Pafos FC 20.8% (-2.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.04% (-2.54)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.12% (-1.57)
Under 1.5 27.88% (+1.58)
Over 2.5 47.91% (-2.05)
Under 2.5 52.09% (+2.05)
Over 3.5 25.28% (-2.49)
Under 3.5 74.72% (+2.49)
Over 4.5 14.79% (-1.49)
Under 4.5 85.21% (+1.48)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 36.71% (-2.12)
Draw 40.09% (+1.96)
Pafos FC 23.2% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 54.46% (-0.82)
No Goal 8.24% (+0.61)
Pafos FC 37.3% (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 65.36% (+2.79)
Equal 8 10.31% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.34% (-2.75)
Over 9 54.22% (+2.57)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.22)
Under 9 34.64% (-2.79)
Over 10.5 43.16% (+2.17)
Under 10.5 56.84% (-2.17)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 48.19% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 51.81% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 22.11% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 77.89% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 8.18% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 91.82% (+0.48)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 53.24% (-2.18)
Under 0.5 46.76% (+2.18)
Over 1.5 21.99% (-2.73)
Under 1.5 78.01% (+2.72)
Over 2.5 7.45% (-1.40)
Under 2.5 92.55% (+1.40)
Over 3.5 2.22% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 97.78% (+0.44)

Score analysis

Chelsea 55.19%
Draw 24.01%
Pafos FC 20.8%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 13.39% (+0.95)
2-0 @ 10.87% (+0.68)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.49)
3-0 @ 6.16% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.10)
Other @ 8.1% (-0.44)
Total : 55.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 8.24% (+0.61)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.42)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.04)
Total : 24.01%
Pafos FC
0-1 @ 6.25% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.42)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.40)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.45)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.42)
Other @ 2.14% (-0.39)
Total : 20.8%