Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Estevao Willian 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 46' yellowcard
  • Estêvão 46' yellowcard
  • Robert Sánchez 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 70' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 70' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 70' yellowcard
  • Jamie Gittens 70' yellowcard
  • João Pedro 70' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 78' goal
  • Moisés Caicedo 78' goal
  • yellowcard Landry Dimata 65'
  • yellowcard Domingos Quina 65'
  • yellowcard Landry Dimata 66'
  • yellowcard Mons Bassouamina 83'
  • yellowcard Bruno Langa 83'
  • yellowcard Georgios Michael 89'

Chelsea vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea

Pafos FC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
Juventus 2 - 0 Pafos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.27% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 55.38% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 23.27% ▼ (-0.20)
Pafos FC 21.35% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 52.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.87% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 36.72% ▼ (-0.42)
Draw 41.03% ▲ (+1.21)
Pafos FC 22.25% ▼ (-0.79)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 54.22% ▲ (+0.51)
No Goal 8.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Pafos FC 37.6% ▼ (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 62.52% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 8 10.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 27.32% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 9 51.78% ▲ (+0.14)
Equal 9 10.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 37.48% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 10.5 41.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 58.71% ▼ (-0.08)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 48.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 51.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 22.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.3% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 91.7% ▼ (-0.11)

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 53.04% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 46.96% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 22.15% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 77.85% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 7.33% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 92.67% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.2% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.8% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Chelsea 55.38%
Draw 23.29%
Pafos FC 21.35%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 13.39% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 55.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.29%
Pafos FC
0-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.35%

Build-up

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