/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
Napoli vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 35.55% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 0-1 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.06%).
Result
Napoli
38.86%
▼
(-1.33)
Draw
25.6%
Chelsea
35.55%
▲
(+1.34)
Both Teams to Score:
51.65%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
27.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
48.87%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
51.13%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
25.05%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
74.95%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
13.86%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
86.14%
▲
(+0.10)
First Half Winner
Napoli
31.74%
Draw
37.82%
Chelsea
30.44%
Team To Score First
Napoli
52.1%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
7.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Chelsea
40.09%
Corners
Over 8
49.71%
Equal 8
11.53%
Under 8
38.76%
Over 9
38.67%
Equal 9
11.04%
Under 9
50.29%
Over 10.5
28.91%
Under 10.5
71.09%
Napoli Goals
Over 1.5
36.8%
▼
(-1.08)
Under 1.5
63.2%
▲
(+1.08)
Over 2.5
14.6%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 2.5
85.4%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
4.74%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
95.26%
▲
(+0.25)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
67.78%
▲
(+1.00)
Under 0.5
32.22%
▼
(-1.00)
Over 1.5
34.07%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 1.5
65.93%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 2.5
12.95%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 2.5
87.05%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 3.5
3.91%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
96.09%
▼
(-0.18)
Score analysis
Napoli
38.85%
Draw
25.61%
Chelsea
35.55%
Napoli
1-0
@
9.9%
▼
(-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.32)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 38.85%
2-1 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.32)
3-0 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 38.85%
Draw
1-1
@
12.06%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.61%
0-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.61%
Chelsea
0-1
@
9.38%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 35.55%
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.32)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.18)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 35.55%
Build-up
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Faaa-st-692096f90f128836851001.jpg)