Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-0 (10.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.