Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.36% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%) , while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.