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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2026 at 7.45pm UK
 
Bologna logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Inter Milan and Bologna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Bologna has a probability of 23.73% and a draw has a probability of 23.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Bologna win is 0-1 (6.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result
Inter MilanDrawBologna
52.62% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)23.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)23.73% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.81% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)46.19% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.48% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)48.04% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.61%
    Bologna 23.73%
    Draw 23.64%
Inter MilanDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 52.61%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.73%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2025 7pm
Semi-finals
Bologna
1-1
Inter Milan
(Aggregate 1-1 | Bologna win 3-2 on penalties)
Orsolini (35' pen.)
Thuram (2')
Apr 20, 2025 5pm
gameweek 33
Bologna
1-0
Inter Milan
Orsolini (90+4')
Ndoye (58'), Orsolini (90+6')
Italiano (56')

Mkhitaryan (39'), Bastoni (61'), Correa (81')
Jan 15, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Inter Milan
2-2
Bologna
Dumfries (19'), Martinez (45+1')
Inzaghi (73')
Castro (15'), Holm (64')
Mar 9, 2024 5pm
gameweek 28
Bologna
0-1
Inter Milan

Zirkzee (25'), Freuler (47')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
1-2
Bologna
Augusto (92')
Aurel Bisseck (90+4'), Darmian (100'), Pavard (103'), Barella (109')
Beukema (112'), Ndoye (116')
Lykogiannis (41'), van Hooijdonk (58'), Fabbian (88')