Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 28, 2025 at 5pm UK
 
Sassuolo logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Bologna and Sassuolo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Friday, December 19 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Next Game: Napoli vs. Bologna
Monday, December 22 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Torino
Sunday, December 21 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bologna win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw has a probability of 23.55% and a win for Sassuolo has a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Sassuolo win it is 0-1 (6.41%).

Result
BolognaDrawSassuolo
55.52% (0.615 0.62)23.55% (-0.118 -0.12)20.92% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)48.85% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)70.95% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.188 0.19)17.44% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.328 0.33)47.89% (-0.329 -0.33)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.556 -0.56)37.74% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.48% (-0.547 -0.55)74.52% (0.545 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 55.51%
    Sassuolo 20.92%
    Draw 23.55%
BolognaDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.155 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.51%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 20.92%

Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 23
Bologna
4-2
Sassuolo
Viti (24' og.), Fabbian (73'), Ferguson (83'), Saelemaekers (86')
Aebischer (55')
Thorstvedt (13'), Volpato (34')
Thorstvedt (45+1'), Boloca (85'), Doig (90+3')
Oct 28, 2023 2pm
gameweek 10
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
Boloca (44')
Berardi (90')
Zirkzee (3')
Lykogiannis (58'), Motta (60'), El Azzouzi (71'), Saelemaekers (90+5')
May 8, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Sassuolo
1-1
Bologna
Berardi (15')
Dominguez (42')
Nov 12, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Bologna
3-0
Sassuolo
Aebischer (30'), Arnautovic (50'), Ferguson (78')
May 15, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 37
Bologna
1-3
Sassuolo
Orsolini (90+2' pen.)
Scamacca (35', 80'), Berardi (75')
Raspadori (57')