Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.45% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.