Sassuolo logo
Serie A
Dec 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
 
Fiorentina logo

3-1

Volpato (13'), Muharemovic (45+1'), Kone (65')
Grosso (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mandragora (9' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, December 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Next Game: Sassuolo vs. Torino
Sunday, December 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Next Game: Lausanne vs. Fiorentina
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
43.4%25.41%31.19%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28%48.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.17%70.83%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61%22.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1%55.9%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 43.4%
    Fiorentina 31.19%
    Draw 25.4%
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.19%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Fiorentina
5-1
Sassuolo
Sottil (17'), Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (58', 66'), Barak (62')
Martinez (32'), Comuzzo (80')
Thorstvedt (57')
Ruan (13'), Thorstvedt (67')
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Sassuolo
1-0
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (9')
Henrique (34'), Pinamonti (52'), Berardi (69')

Martinez (35'), Ikone (90+6')
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 38
Sassuolo
1-3
Fiorentina
Berardi (71' pen.)
Cabral (46'), Saponara (79'), Gonzalez (83')
Jan 7, 2023 2pm
gameweek 17
Fiorentina
2-1
Sassuolo
Saponara (48'), Gonzalez (90+1' pen.)
Berardi (57' pen.)
Feb 26, 2022 7.50pm
gameweek 27
Sassuolo
2-1
Fiorentina
Traore (19'), Defrel (90+4')
Lopez (70')
Cabral (88')
Italiano (68'), Bonaventura (79')
Bonaventura (79')