Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 17, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Stanislav Lobotka 7' goal
  • Matteo Politano 56' yellowcard
  • Noa Lang 56' yellowcard
  • Noa Lang 57' yellowcard
  • Matteo Politano  57' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi 62' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Mazzocchi  62' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Buongiorno 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edoardo Iannoni 54'
  • yellowcard Laurs Skjellerup 81'
  • yellowcard Woyo Coulibaly 81'
  • yellowcard Luca Moro 89'
  • yellowcard Walid Cheddira 89'

Napoli vs Sassuolo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 5.30pm
Napoli 0 - 0 Parma
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Rasmus Hojlund

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 5.00pm
Roma 0 - 0 Sassuolo
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Ismael Kone

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.43% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 13.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 64.53% (-0.04)
Draw 22.43% (-0.08)
Sassuolo 13.04% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.12% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.87% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 32.13% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 42.78% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 57.22% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 21.86% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 78.14% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.24% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 86.76% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Napoli 47.45%
Draw 39.22%
Sassuolo 13.34%

Team To Score First

Napoli 68.19% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.58% (-0.11)
Sassuolo 22.23% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.52%
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 35.48%
Over 9 40.8%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 47.48%
Over 10.5 30.27%
Under 10.5 69.73%

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 51.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 48.4% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.83% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 75.17% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 9.82% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 90.18% (-0.03)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5 42.85% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 57.15% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 12.43% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 87.57% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 2.36% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 97.64% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.42%
Under 3.5 99.58%

Score analysis

Napoli 64.53%
Draw 22.44%
Sassuolo 13.04%
Napoli
1-0 @ 16.71% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 13.58% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.15% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.81% (+0.04)
Total : 64.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 2.85% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.44%
Sassuolo
0-1 @ 5.85%
1-2 @ 3.34% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 13.04%

Head to Head

Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Aug 23, 2025 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 5.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 3
FT MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
  • Uros Racic 17' goal
  • goal Amir Rrahmani 29'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 31'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 41'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 47'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 51'
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 75'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Victor Osimhen 16' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 64' goal
  • yellowcard Ruan 29'
  • redcard Maxime Lopez 51'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
  • goal Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 12'
  • goal Victor Osimhen 33'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
  • Victor Osimhen 4' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 19' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 36' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 77' goal
Serie A Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 2.00pm
6
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 7' goal
  • Victor Osimhen 15' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 19' goal
  • Dries Mertens 21' goal
  • Dries Mertens 54' goal
  • Amir Rrahmani 80' goal
  • yellowcard Maxime Lopez 18'
  • yellowcard Davide Frattesi 53'
  • yellowcard Domenico Berardi 84'
  • goal Maxime Lopez 87'