Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Parma had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.87%) , while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.