Dec 27, 2025 11.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Alessandro Circati 20'
Oliver Sorensen 48'
Edoardo Corvi 86'
Edoardo Corvi 87'

Rolando Mandragora 22'
Marin Pongracic 90'+3'
Marin Pongracic 90'+4'

Parma vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Parma vs Fiorentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Parma vs Fiorentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 25 Dec 2025 10:30

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

L
W
L
L
W
D

Serie A

L
W
L
W
D
L

Last game

Dec 13, 2025 5.00pm

Parma 0 - 1 Lazio

Goals scored

14

Top scorer

Mateo Pellegrino

Fiorentina

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
L

Serie A

W
L
L
L
D
D

Last game

Dec 21, 2025 5.00pm

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese

Goals scored

20

Top scorer

Moise Kean

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Parma had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Parma 26.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 25.7% ▲ (+0.01)

Fiorentina 47.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

50.9% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.48% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 2.5 52.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 25.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 74.18% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 11.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 88.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 65.17% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 0.5 34.82% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 28.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 71.56% ▲ (+0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 21.9% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 44.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 55.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Parma 26.33%

Draw 25.7%

Fiorentina 47.96%

Parma

1-0 @ 8.05% ▲ (+0.01)

2-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)

2-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.12%

Total : 26.33%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.21%

0-0 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.96%

Total : 25.7%

Fiorentina

0-1 @ 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)

1-2 @ 9.28%

0-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.01)

1-3 @ 4.7%

0-3 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)

1-4 @ 1.78%

0-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 3.21%

Total : 47.96%

Head to Head

Apr 13, 2025 2.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Stadio Artemio Franchi

75'

Mateo Pellegrino 12'
Emanuele Valeri 35'
Giovanni Leoni 41'
Simon Sohm 43'
Lautaro Valenti 88'

Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio Ennio Tardini

Dennis Man 22'
Nahuel Estevez 36'
Botond Balogh 49'
Alessandro Circati 85'

Marin Pongracic 35'
Cristiano Biraghi 75'
Marin Pongracic 83'

Dec 6, 2023 8.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 2

ET Stadio Artemio Franchi

Yerry Mina 38'
Mbala N'Zola 83'
Riccardo Sottil 89'
Mbala N'Zola 92'
Gino Infantino 120'

Adrian Bernabe 21'
Ange-Yoan Bonny 23'
Leandro Chichizola 38'
Cristian Ansaldi 96'

Mar 7, 2021 2.00pm

3

3

HT : 2 1

FT

Lucas Martinez 28'
Nikola Milenkovic 42'
Simone Iacoponi 90'+4'

Juraj Kucka 32'
Juraj Kucka 56'
Giuseppe Pezzella 62'
Jasmin Kurtic 72'
Mattia Bani 80'
Valentin Mihaila 90'
Roberto D'Aversa 90'+3'

Nov 7, 2020 7.45pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Giuseppe Pezzella 68'

Franck Ribery 42'
Nikola Milenkovic 73'

Jul 5, 2020 6.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 2

FT Ennio Tardini

Gaston Brugman 38'
Dejan Kulusevski 39'
Juraj Kucka 41'
Juraj Kucka 49'
Jasmin Kurtic 89'

Erick Pulgar 19'
Erick Pulgar 31'
Lorenzo Venuti 32'
German Pezzella 49'
Igor Julio 52'
Nikola Milenkovic 63'
Patrick Cutrone 79'
Riccardo Sottil 90'+5'

Form Data

Parma 0 - 1 Lazio

Pisa 0 - 1 Parma

Bologna 2 - 1 Parma

Parma 0 - 2 Udinese

Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Parma

Parma 2 - 2 AC Milan

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese

Lausanne 1 - 0 Fiorentina

Fiorentina 1 - 2 Hellas Verona

Fiorentina 2 - 1 Dynamo Kiev

Sassuolo 3 - 1 Fiorentina

Atalanta 2 - 0 Fiorentina