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Serie A

Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2025 at 11.30am UK
 
Fiorentina logo

Parma
vs.
Fiorentina

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Parma and Fiorentina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Udinese
Sunday, December 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Parma has a probability of 26.25% and a draw has a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Parma win is 1-0 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
ParmaDrawFiorentina
26.25% (0.033999999999999 0.03)25.65% (-0.058 -0.06)48.09% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.205 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (0.255 0.26)52.38% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (0.219 0.22)74.06% (-0.22 -0.22)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.16500000000001 0.17)34.82% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.175 0.18)71.56% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.21% (0.117 0.12)21.79% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.01% (0.179 0.18)54.99% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Parma 26.25%
    Fiorentina 48.09%
    Draw 25.65%
ParmaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.25%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 11.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.81% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.09%

Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 2pm
gameweek 32
Fiorentina
0-0
Parma
Pellegrino (12'), Valeri (35'), Leoni (41'), Sohm (43'), Valenti (88')
> Preview
Aug 17, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Parma
1-1
Fiorentina
Man (22')
Estevez (36'), Balogh (49'), Circati (85')
Biraghi (75')
Pongracic (35')
Pongracic (83')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-2
Parma
(Aggregate 2-2 | Fiorentina win 4-1 on penalties)
N'Zola (83'), Sottil (89' pen.)
Mina (38'), N'Zola (92'), Infantino (120')
Bernabe (21'), Bonny (23')
Chichizola (38'), Ansaldi (96')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 26
Fiorentina
3-3
Parma
Martinez (28'), Milenkovic (42'), Iacoponi (90+4' og.)
Kucka (32' pen.), Kurtic (72'), Mihaila (90')
Kucka (56'), Pezzella (62'), Bani (80')
D'Aversa (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Parma
0-0
Fiorentina
Pezzella (68')
Ribery (42'), Milenkovic (73')
> Preview