Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.