Conference League
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gabriel Sigua 58' goal
  • Beyatt Lekweiry 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moise Kean 73'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Niccolo Fortini 85'

Lausanne Sport vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lausanne Sport

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
KuPS 0 - 0 Lausanne

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Fiorentina 2 - 1 Dynamo Kiev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Lausanne Sport 35.52% (-0.16)
Draw 23.42% (-0.03)
Fiorentina 41.05% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.42% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.76% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 38.23% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 39.49% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 60.51% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 21.73% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.26% (-0.08)

Lausanne Sport Goals

Over 0.5 78.33% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.79% (+0.07)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 80.96% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 19.04% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 49.38% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 50.61% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Lausanne Sport 35.52%
Draw 23.42%
Fiorentina 41.05%
Lausanne Sport
2-1 @ 8% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.31% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 35.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.87% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.42%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.8% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.67% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 41.05%