Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.84%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.