Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.95% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%) , while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.