Sassuolo logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 3, 2026 at 2pm UK
 
Parma logo

vs.

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Sassuolo and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, December 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, December 27 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw has a probability of 25.61% and a win for Parma has a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.1%) , while for a Parma win it is 0-1 (7.84%).

Result
SassuoloDrawParma
51.26% (0.07 0.07)25.61% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.011000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (0.036000000000001 0.04)21.34% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.053999999999995 0.05)54.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)38.83% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.56% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 51.25%
    Parma 23.14%
    Draw 25.6%
SassuoloDrawParma
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.25%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 23.14%

Head to Head
May 16, 2021 5pm
gameweek 37
Parma
1-3
Sassuolo
Alves (32')
Kurtic (28')
Locatelli (25' pen.), Defrel (62'), Boga (69')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
gameweek 18
Sassuolo
1-1
Parma
Duricic (90+4' pen.)
Chiriches (1'), Lopez (72'), Rogerio (77')
Kucka (37')
Brugman (81'), Busi (84')
Feb 16, 2020 2pm
gameweek 24
Sassuolo
0-1
Parma

Santos (26'), Berardi (58'), Locatelli (77'), Bourabia (81'), Ferrari (90')
Gervinho (25')
Gagliolo (44'), Laurini (72'), Grassi (87'), Brugman (90')
Sep 25, 2019 8pm
gameweek 5
Parma
1-0
Sassuolo
Bourabia (95' og.)
Gervinho (20'), Gagliolo (89'), Iacoponi (93')

Obiang (73')
Apr 14, 2019 2pm
gameweek 32
Sassuolo
0-0
Parma
Matri (53'), Ferrari (86'), Sensi (90')
Scozzarella (75'), Dimarco (90')