Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.51% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%) , while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.