Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Cristian Romero

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 8.00pm
Wolves 2 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw has a probability of 21.12% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur has a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.22%) , while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it is 1-0 (4.9%).

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 15.46% (-0.11)
Draw 21.12% (-0.02)
Arsenal 63.42% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 23.4% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.82% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.18% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 32.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.74% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.68% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.32% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Tottenham Hotspur 19.71% (-0.12)
Draw 36.42% (-0.23)
Arsenal 43.87% (+0.35)

Team To Score First

Tottenham Hotspur 28.47% (-0.25)
No Goal 6.56% (-0.02)
Arsenal 64.97% (+0.27)

Corners

Over 8 64.33% (+0.16)
Equal 8 10.49% (-0.07)
Under 8 25.19% (-0.08)
Over 9 53.08% (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.07)
Under 9 35.67% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 41.99% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 58.01% (-0.25)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 1.5 19.32% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 80.68% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 5.37% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 94.63% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.66% (+0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 84.64% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 15.36% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 58.11% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 41.89% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 31.1% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 68.9% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 13.86% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 86.14% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 15.47%
Draw 21.12%
Arsenal 63.41%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 4.9% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.02% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Total : 15.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 21.12%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 11.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 10.06% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 7.01% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.92%
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 13.73% (+0.09)
Total : 63.41%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 23, 2025 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 31, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 31, 2025 10.00am
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Dominic Solanke 40' goal
  • Kai Havertz 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 44' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 87' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Son Heung-min 25'
  • yellowcard Pape Sarr 27'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Destiny Udogie 27' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 32' yellowcard
  • Guglielmo Vicario 37' yellowcard
  • Dejan Kulusevski 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Mickey van de Ven 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Saliba 15'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 35'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 49'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 64'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Cristian Romero 64' goal
  • Dejan Kulusevski 77' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 81' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 87' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 15' (OG)
  • goal Bukayo Saka 27'
  • goal Kai Havertz 38'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 83'

Build-up

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