Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 16.74% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%) , while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (3.22%).