Premier League Gameweek 28
Arsenal
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
Emirates Stadium
Chelsea

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.30pm
Spurs 1 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw has a probability of 23.74% and a win for Chelsea has a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Chelsea win it is 1-2 (6.17%).

Result

Arsenal 54.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Chelsea 22.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 45.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 68.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.32% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 37.93%
Draw 37.42%
Chelsea 24.65%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 58.35%
No Goal 5.99%
Chelsea 35.66%

Corners

Over 8 48.44%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 39.69%
Over 9 37.19%
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 51.56%
Over 10.5 27.37%
Under 10.5 72.63%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 52.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 47.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 10.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.59% ▼ (-0.04)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 58.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 41.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 8.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.77% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Arsenal 54.09%
Draw 23.74%
Chelsea 22.17%
Arsenal
1-0 @ 10.78% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 10.14%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-0 @ 5.62%
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.74%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.17%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Arsenal
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Kai Havertz 69' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 69' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 60'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 60'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 60'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 75'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 87'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Arsenal
  • Benoit Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 53' yellowcard
  • Benoît Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 57' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 75' yellowcard
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 81' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 81' yellowcard
  • Shumaira Mheuka 81' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 83' goal
  • goal Ben White 7'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 49'
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 49'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 71'
  • goal Martín Zubimendi 71'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
Premier League
Chelsea
Nov 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Marc Cucurella 11' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 38' redcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 48' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 13'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 27'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 41'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 54'
  • goal Mikel Merino 59'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 88'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Mikel Merino 20' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 54' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 52'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 59'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Chelsea
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Arsenal
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Arsenal
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Chelsea
  • Leandro Trossard 4' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 45' yellowcard
  • Ben White 52' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kai Havertz 65' goal
  • Ben White 70' goal
  • Ben White 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfie Gilchrist 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 43'

Form Data

Spurs 1 - 4 Arsenal
Wolves 2 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 4 - 0 Wigan
Brentford 1 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 0 Sunderland
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Burnley
Hull City 0 - 4 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 2 Leeds
Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham

Build-up

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