Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.77% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 22.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.13%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.