Premier League Gameweek 26
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 0 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 17.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (5.34%).

Result

Chelsea 58.98% (+0.33)
Draw 23.39% (-0.13)
Leeds United 17.62% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.99% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.36% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.64% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 72.33%
Over 4.5 16.58% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.42% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 39.16% (+0.06)
Draw 39.68% (-0.04)
Leeds United 21.16% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 56.71% (-0.15)
No Goal 8.2% (+0.03)
Leeds United 35.09% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 58.01% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 30.37% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.14% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 41.99% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 35.04% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.96%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 51.5% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 48.5% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 24.92% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 75.08% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 9.74% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 90.26% (-0.06)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 50.28% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 49.72% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 20.18% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 79.82% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 6.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 93.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.75% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea 58.99%
Draw 23.39%
Leeds United 17.63%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 14.13% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 11.52% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.21% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 9.67% (+0.07)
Total : 58.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 8.2% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 23.39%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.68% (+0.02)
Total : 17.63%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jaka Bijol 6' goal
  • Anton Stach 35' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 43' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 39'
  • goal Pedro Neto 50'
FA Cup
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nicolas Jackson 15' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 37' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 40' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 8'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Brenden Aaronson 33' goal
  • Rodrigo 37' goal
  • Jack Harrison 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 9'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 36'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 84'
Premier League Gameweek 33
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniel James 24' redcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Mount 4'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 55'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 83'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Reece James 34' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 42' goal
  • Jorginho 58' goal
  • Mason Mount 60' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+4' goal
  • goal Raphinha 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 42'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 53'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 69'
  • goal Joe Gelhardt 83'
  • yellowcard Illan Meslier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 90'+6'

Build-up

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