Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Feb 10, 2026 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Leeds
  • João Pedro 24' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 46' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 64' yellowcard
  • Wesley Fofana 79' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 55'
  • yellowcard Lukas Nmecha 67'
  • goal Noah Okafor 73'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'+5'

Chelsea vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw has a probability of 23.39% and a win for Leeds United has a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%) , while for a Leeds United win it is 0-1 (5.35%).

Result

Chelsea 59.05%
Draw 23.39%
Leeds United 17.61% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.43% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 39.12%
Draw 39.7%
Leeds United 21.18%

Team To Score First

Chelsea 56.81%
No Goal 8.22%
Leeds United 34.97%

Corners

Over 8 58.01%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 30.37%
Over 9 46.14%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 41.99%
Over 10.5 35.04%
Under 10.5 64.96%

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 51.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 50.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 49.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 20.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 79.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.45%
Under 2.5 93.55%
Over 3.5 1.73%
Under 3.5 98.27%

Score analysis

Chelsea 59.05%
Draw 23.39%
Leeds United 17.61%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 14.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 59.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.15%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 23.39%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.61%

Head to Head

Premier League
Leeds
Dec 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Jaka Bijol 6' goal
  • Anton Stach 35' yellowcard
  • Ao Tanaka 43' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 72' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 39'
  • goal Pedro Neto 50'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Feb 28, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Leeds
  • Nicolas Jackson 15' goal
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 37' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 40' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 41' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 49' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 90' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 8'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 69'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Chelsea
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Wesley Fofana 53' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Leeds
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Brenden Aaronson 33' goal
  • Rodrigo 37' goal
  • Jack Harrison 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 9'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 36'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 84'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Leeds
May 11, 2022 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Daniel James 24' redcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 43' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Mount 4'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 55'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 83'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Chelsea
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Reece James 34' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 42' goal
  • Jorginho 58' goal
  • Mason Mount 60' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 90'+4' goal
  • goal Raphinha 28'
  • yellowcard Junior Firpo 42'
  • yellowcard Jamie Shackleton 53'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 69'
  • goal Joe Gelhardt 83'
  • yellowcard Illan Meslier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Llorente 90'+6'

Form Data

Wolves 1 - 3 Chelsea
Arsenal 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 West Ham
Napoli 2 - 3 Chelsea
Crystal Palace 1 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 0 Pafos
Leeds 3 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Fulham
Derby 1 - 1 Leeds
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds

Build-up

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