Premier League Gameweek 25
Leeds
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
Nott'm Forest
  • Jayden Bogle 26' goal
  • Noah Okafor 30' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 49' goal
  • Daniel James 78' yellowcard
  • Sean Longstaff 82' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Lucca 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson 54'
  • yellowcard Omari Hutchinson  54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates 67'
  • yellowcard Dan Ndoye 67'
  • yellowcard Ryan Yates  67'
  • yellowcard Luca Netz 76'
  • goal Lorenzo Lucca 86'

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Morgan Gibbs-White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Leeds United 40.9% ▲ (+1.11)
Draw 25.95% ▼ (-0.68)
Nottingham Forest 33.15% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% ▲ (+2.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.3% ▲ (+2.07)
Under 1.5 24.7% ▼ (-2.08)
Over 2.5 50.66% ▲ (+2.56)
Under 2.5 49.34% ▼ (-2.56)
Over 3.5 29.09% ▲ (+2.11)
Under 3.5 70.91% ▼ (-2.11)
Over 4.5 15.66% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 4.5 84.34% ▼ (-1.40)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 30.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 43.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Nottingham Forest 26.07% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 48.05% ▲ (+0.46)
No Goal 6.57% ▼ (-0.86)
Nottingham Forest 45.38% ▲ (+0.41)

Corners

Over 8 61.77%
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 27.03%
Over 9 49.98%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 38.23%
Over 10.5 38.63%
Under 10.5 61.37%

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 40.46% ▲ (+2.19)
Under 1.5 59.54% ▼ (-2.19)
Over 2.5 17% ▲ (+1.41)
Under 2.5 83% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 3.5 5.68% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▼ (-0.62)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 68.12% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 0.5 31.88% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 1.5 34.65% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 65.35% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 2.5 12.75% ▲ (+0.67)
Under 2.5 87.25% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 3.69% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 3.5 96.31% ▼ (-0.29)

Score analysis

Leeds United 40.89%
Draw 25.96%
Nottingham Forest 33.14%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.50)
2-1 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.30)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.60)
Total : 40.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% ▼ (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.86)
2-2 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.96%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.76)
1-2 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.18)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 33.14%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nott'm Forest
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
Club Friendlies 1
Nott'm Forest
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Leeds
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Leeds
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Nott'm Forest
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Nott'm Forest
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Nott'm Forest
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Ground
Leeds
  • Sammy Ameobi 31' goal
  • Matty Cash 44' yellowcard
  • Samba Sow 83' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 90' goal
  • Adama Diakhaby 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 35'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 55'
  • yellowcard Ben White 72'
Championship Gameweek 2
Leeds
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Nott'm Forest
  • Kalvin Phillips 28' yellowcard
  • Pablo Hernandez 59' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samba Sow 71'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 77'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 91'

Form Data

Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Everton 1 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Fulham
Derby 1 - 1 Leeds
Newcastle 4 - 3 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Nott'm Forest 4 - 0 Ferencvaros
Brentford 0 - 2 Nott'm Forest
Braga 1 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Wrexham 3 - 3 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups