Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 6, 2026 8.00pm
Elland Road

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Leeds 0 - 4 Arsenal
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 2.00pm
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Callum Hudson-Odoi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Leeds United win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Nottingham Forest has a probability of 33.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win is 0-1 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Leeds United 39.75% (+0.71)
Draw 26.67% (-0.11)
Nottingham Forest 33.58% (-0.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.16% (-0.72)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.19% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 26.81% (+0.51)
Over 2.5 48.08% (-0.35)
Under 2.5 51.92% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 26.93% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 73.07% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 14.23% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 85.77% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Leeds United 30.9% (+0.81)
Draw 43.03% (-0.65)
Nottingham Forest 26.07% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Leeds United 47.67% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.44% (+0.05)
Nottingham Forest 44.89% (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 61.74% (+2.79)
Equal 8 11.19% (-0.06)
Under 8 27.07% (-2.74)
Over 9 49.96% (+2.57)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.22)
Under 9 38.26% (-2.79)
Over 10.5 38.62% (+2.15)
Under 10.5 61.38% (-2.15)

Leeds United Goals

Over 1.5 38.22% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 61.78% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 15.57% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 84.43% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.06% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.94% (-0.07)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 67.58% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 32.42% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 33.69% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 66.31% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 12.1% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 87.9% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 3.4% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 96.6% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Leeds United 39.75%
Draw 26.66%
Nottingham Forest 33.59%
Leeds United
1-0 @ 10.4% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.26% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.87% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.05)
Other @ 5% (+0.06)
Total : 39.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.66%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 8.97% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.34% (-0.23)
Total : 33.59%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Patrick Bamford 66'
  • goal Ian Poveda 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 20' goal
  • Luis Sinisterra 45'+1' goal
  • goal Orel Mangala 12'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Brennan Johnson 14' goal
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT City Ground
  • Sammy Ameobi 31' goal
  • Matty Cash 44' yellowcard
  • Samba Sow 83' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walker 90' goal
  • Adama Diakhaby 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stuart Dallas 35'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 55'
  • yellowcard Ben White 72'
Championship Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kalvin Phillips 28' yellowcard
  • Pablo Hernandez 59' goal
  • Adam Forshaw 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samba Sow 71'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 77'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 91'