Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.