Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.23% and a win for Fafe had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.16%) and 1-2 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Fafe win it was 1-0 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.