Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 23, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
 
Braga

0-3

FT(HT: 0-0)
Navarro (50'), Oliveira (53'), Dorgeles (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Caldas and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Caldas 0-3 Braga
Tuesday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
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Last Game: Caldas 0-3 Braga
Tuesday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Braga vs. Benfica
Sunday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.18% and a win for Caldas had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.99%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Caldas win it was 1-0 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
CaldasDrawBraga
13.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)21.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)65.24% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)50.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.75% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.88% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.68% (-0.026 -0.03)83.32% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (0.018999999999991 0.02)14.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)43.16% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Caldas 13.58%
    Braga 65.23%
    Draw 21.18%
CaldasDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 13.58%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 13.62%
0-2 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 8.26% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 3.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 65.23%

rhs 2.0


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