Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.18% and a win for Caldas had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.99%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%) , while for a Caldas win it was 1-0 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.