Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga
Dec 28, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Benfica

Braga
2-2
Benfica

Zalazar (38' pen.), Victor Delgado (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Otamendi (29'), Aursnes (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Estrela Amadora vs. Braga
Saturday, January 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Benfica vs. Estoril
Saturday, January 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
32.91% (-0.206 -0.21)25.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)41.1% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-0.146 -0.15)50.62% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-0.13 -0.13)72.53% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.205 -0.2)29.05% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-0.255 -0.25)64.96% (0.254 0.25)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)58.74% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 32.91%
    Benfica 41.1%
    Draw 25.98%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.91%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.1%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 6pm
gameweek 34
Braga
1-1
Benfica
Zalazar (24' pen.)
Rodrigues (52'), Moutinho (55'), Racic (57')
Moutinho (66')
Pavlidis (63')
Kokcu (33'), Otamendi (45+3')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Pavlidis (39')
Fernandez (46'), Otamendi (90+4')

Horta (68'), Navarro (78'), Bambu (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
3-0
Braga
Di Maria (27', 37'), Fernandez (28')

Ferreira (62'), Fernandes (83')
Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro (78')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
gameweek 17
Benfica
1-2
Braga
Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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