Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Braga
Dec 28, 2025 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Benfica
  • Joao Moutinho 30' yellowcard
  • João Moutinho 30' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 38' goal
  • Pau Victor Delgado 45'+1' goal
  • Pau Víctor 45'+1' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 65' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 88' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+3' redcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 15'
  • yellowcard Tomás Araújo 15'
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 16'
  • goal Nicolas Otamendi 29'
  • goal Nicolás Otamendi 29'
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 53'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 74'
  • yellowcard Richard Ríos 74'

Braga vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2025 8.15pm
Estoril 1 - 0 Braga
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rodrigo Zalazar

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 8.45pm
Benfica 1 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Braga 32.91% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 25.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Benfica 41.1% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.68% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.38% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 50.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 27.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 72.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 12.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 87.04% ▲ (+0.09)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 70.95% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 29.05% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 35.04% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 1.5 64.96% ▲ (+0.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 75.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 41.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Braga 32.91%
Draw 25.98%
Benfica 41.1%
Braga
1-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 32.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.98%
Benfica
0-1 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.1%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Braga
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Benfica
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 24' goal
  • Francisco Rodrigues 52' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 55' yellowcard
  • Uros Racic 57' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 66' redcard
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 33'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 45'+3'
  • goal Vangelis Pavlidis 63'
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 39' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 68'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 78'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'
Taca da Liga
Benfica
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Angel di Maria 27' goal
  • Alvaro Fernandez 28' goal
  • Angel di Maria 37' goal
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 62'
  • redcard Jonatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro 78'
  • yellowcard Roger Fernandes 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Benfica
Jan 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Angel di Maria 52' yellowcard
  • Arthur Cabral 77' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 79' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 88' yellowcard
  • Jan-Niklas Beste 89' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Navarro 17'
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 36'
  • goal Robson Bambu 40'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Benfica
Apr 27, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Marcos Leonardo 71' goal
  • David Neres 85' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Vitor Carvalho 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Horta 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 79'
  • yellowcard Cher Ndour 82'
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 82'
  • redcard Victor Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 90'+8'
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Jan 10, 2024 8.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Braga
  • Morato 40' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 42' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 44' goal
  • Angel di Maria 60' yellowcard
  • Fredrik Aursnes 70' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 7'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 48'
  • yellowcard Victor Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 72'

Form Data

Caldas 0 - 3 Braga
Estoril 1 - 0 Braga
Braga 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Nice 0 - 1 Braga
Famalicao 1 - 2 Braga
Arouca 0 - 4 Braga
Benfica 1 - 0 Famalicao
Farense 0 - 2 Benfica
Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica
Benfica 2 - 0 Napoli
Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Nacional 1 - 2 Benfica