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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2025 at 6pm UK
 
Benfica

vs.

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Braga
Friday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Caldas vs. Braga
Tuesday, December 23 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, December 17 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Benfica vs. Famalicao
Monday, December 22 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Braga has a probability of 33.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Braga win is 1-0 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.33%).

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
33.11% (-0.395 -0.4)25.96% (0.056999999999999 0.06)40.92% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.81% (-0.28599999999999 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-0.323 -0.32)50.47% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (-0.284 -0.28)72.4% (0.285 0.28)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)28.84% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.509 -0.51)64.7% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (0.030000000000001 0.03)24.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)58.78% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 33.11%
    Benfica 40.92%
    Draw 25.96%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.11%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 40.92%

Head to Head
May 17, 2025 6pm
gameweek 34
Braga
1-1
Benfica
Zalazar (24' pen.)
Rodrigues (52'), Moutinho (55'), Racic (57')
Moutinho (66')
Pavlidis (63')
Kokcu (33'), Otamendi (45+3')
Feb 26, 2025 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
1-0
Braga
Pavlidis (39')
Fernandez (46'), Otamendi (90+4')

Horta (68'), Navarro (78'), Bambu (90+1')
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
3-0
Braga
Di Maria (27', 37'), Fernandez (28')
Jan 4, 2025 6pm
gameweek 17
Benfica
1-2
Braga
Cabral (77')
di Maria (52'), Cabral (79'), Barreiro (88'), Beste (89')
Navarro (17'), Bambu (40')
Gorby (36'), Magalhaes (54'), Ferreira (90+3')
Apr 27, 2024 6pm
gameweek 31
Benfica
3-1
Braga
Leonardo (71', 90+5'), Neres (85')
Leonardo (90+5'), Carvalho (90+6')
Horta (28')
Moutinho (79'), Ndour (82'), Kokcu (82'), Carvalho (90+8')
Gomez (89')