Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.03% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.