Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Hugo Felix 86' yellowcard
  • Hugo Félix 86' yellowcard
  • Joe Hodge 87' yellowcard
  • Moudja Sie Ouattara 87' yellowcard
  • Moudjatovic 87' yellowcard
  • Afonso Rodrigues 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jordan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Afonso Rodrigues 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 64'
  • yellowcard Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 64'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodrigues 64'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 73'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Lelo 73'
  • yellowcard Victor Gomez 73'
  • yellowcard Víctor Gómez 73'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martínez 73'
  • yellowcard Bright Arrey-Mbi 88'
  • yellowcard Bright Arrey-Mbi 89'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 90'+2'

Tondela vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Maranhão

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 3 - 3 Braga
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.03% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 17.09% (-0.38)
Draw 22.03% (+0.02)
Braga 60.88% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.38% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.4% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 25.6% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 49.9% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 50.1% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 26.85% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 73.15% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 15.88% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.12% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Tondela 16.04% (+0.02)
Draw 38.89% (-0.08)
Braga 45.07% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Tondela 27.03% (-0.80)
No Goal 6.97% (+0.06)
Braga 66% (+0.74)

Corners

Over 8 28.05% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.71% (+0.05)
Under 8 61.24% (+0.06)
Over 9 19.53% (-0.11)
Equal 9 8.52% (+0.02)
Under 9 71.95% (+0.10)
Over 10.5 13.22% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 86.78% (+0.13)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 18.47% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 81.53% (+0.49)
Over 2.5 4.66% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 95.34% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.01% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.99% (+0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 82.9% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 17.1% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 53.55% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.45% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 26.81% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 73.19% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 10.7% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 89.3% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Tondela 17.09%
Draw 22.03%
Braga 60.88%
Tondela
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 1% (-0.06)
Total : 17.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.56% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.97% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.03%
Braga
0-1 @ 12.84% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 11.49% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 10.25% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 7.2% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.05)
Other @ 10.69% (+0.06)
Total : 60.88%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 10, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 20, 2022 8.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bebeto 62' yellowcard
  • Javier Aviles 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Horta 57'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2021 9.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yan Couto 56' yellowcard
  • Galeno 69' yellowcard
  • Iuri Medeiros 81' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 84' goal
  • Iuri Medeiros 90' goal
  • yellowcard Salvador Agra 12'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 39'
  • yellowcard Neto Borges 44'
  • goal Renat Dadasov 86'
  • yellowcard Manu Hernando 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2021 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Lucas Piazon 18' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 40' goal
  • Joao Novais 42' goal
  • Lucas Piazon 50' goal
  • yellowcard Enzo Martinez 22'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 72'
  • goal Souleymane Anne 84'
  • goal Joao Jaquite 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 9.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 4
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Bebeto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Viana 22'
  • goal Galeno 26'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 29'
  • goal Galeno 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Jul 20, 2020 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Joao Cardoso
  • Philipe Sampaio 45' yellowcard
  • Filipe Ferreira 56' yellowcard
  • Tiago Almeida 64' yellowcard
  • Yohan Tavares 74' goal
  • Babacar Niasse 84' yellowcard
  • Filipe Ferreira 87' redcard