Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tondela win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 34.12% and a draw has a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Arouca win is 0-1 (10%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.86%).