Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 51.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.27% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
| 51.97% ( | 25.27% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.28% ( | 53.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( | 75.19% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( | 20.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( | 53.26% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( | 38.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( | 75.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 8% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.75% |