Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
2 - 0
Arouca

Ricardinho (4', 37')
Soares (24'), Rocha (31'), Serginho (47'), Adriano (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Faria Camara Lamba (57'), Pinto (59'), Yalcin (87'), Araujo (90+5'), Sylla (90+3')
N'Diaye (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Santa Clara
Friday, April 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
43.15% ( -0.02)	26.76% ( 0.02)	30.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.34% (

-0.09)

54.65% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.01% (

-0.07)

75.98% (

0.07)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

-0.05)

25.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-0.07)

59.8% (

0.06)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

-0.05)

33.04% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

-0.05)

69.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 43.15%

Arouca 30.08%

Draw 26.75%

Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.08%