Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 18.6% ( | 23.73% ( | 57.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( | 52.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( | 74.17% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.24% ( | 78.75% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( | 18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( | 48.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.6% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.13% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 13.07% ( 0-2 @ 11.21% ( 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0-3 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 2.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.64% |