Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.