Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 49.21% ( | 27.74% ( | 23.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( | 62.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( | 81.74% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( | 25.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( | 60.27% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( | 43.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.61% ( | 79.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.64% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.03% Total : 23.05% |