Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

Tavares (78')
Teguia (62'), de Brito Gonzaga (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kikas (55')
Martins Travassos (36'), Kikas (41'), Ruiz (45'), Liliano Saches Sousa (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Famalicao 2-0 Moreirense
Sunday, February 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
44.88% ( -0.13)	28.09% ( 0.1)	27.03% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

-0.32)

60.76% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18% (

-0.24)

80.82% (

0.24)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98% (

-0.21)

27.02% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62% (

-0.28)

62.38% (

0.28)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-0.15)

38.76% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

-0.15)

75.49% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 44.88%

Estrela Amadora 27.03%

Draw 28.08%

Moreirense	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.03%