Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Complexo Desportivo FC Famalicao - Campo 2

Famalicao
2 - 0
Moreirense

Aranda (47'), Vinicios (58')
De Amorim (21'), Sa (39'), Mamageishvili (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavares (66'), Buta (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Famalicao
Monday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Moreirense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Moreirense 3-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Moreirense
49.25% ( -0.68)	27.64% ( 0.21)	23.11% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 42.71% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.35% (

-0.32)

61.65% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.52% (

-0.24)

81.48% (

0.24)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

-0.47)

25.26% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

-0.65)

60.02% (

0.65)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.15% (

0.28)

42.85% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.83% (

0.24)

79.16% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 49.24%

Moreirense 23.11%

Draw 27.63%

Famalicao	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 14.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.24%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.05% Total : 23.11%