Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 23, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS
2 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Luis (71' pen.), Pinto Mendonca (90+6')
Grau (37'), Luis (37'), Vela Rodrigues (74'), Rodriguez Elduayen (90+3'), Mena Palacios (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Diomande (8'), Gyokeres (33')
Diomande (70'), Inacio (76'), Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito (82'), Araujo (90+8')
Diomande (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 AVS
Sunday, February 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Dortmund 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, February 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for AVS had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.44%) and 0-3 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
AVS	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
10.82% ( 0.16)	17.75% ( 0.38)	71.43% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.04% (

-1.28)

42.96% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.64% (

-1.28)

65.36% (

1.28)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.18% (

-0.54)

47.82% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.9% (

-0.4)

83.1% (

0.4)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.48)

10.71% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.36% (

-1.09)

34.64% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

AVS 10.82%

Sporting Lisbon 71.42%

Draw 17.75%

AVS	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 10.82%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.75%	0-2 @ 12.77% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 5.31% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 2.37% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.84% Total : 71.42%