Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 19, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
0 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

(Borussia Dortmund win 3-0 on aggregate)

Can (73')
Sabitzer (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Dortmund
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
34.42% ( -0.03)	22.97% ( -0.04)	42.61% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 64.9% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.81% (

0.18)

36.2% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.69% (

0.2)

58.31% (

-0.2)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.7% (

0.07)

21.3% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.77% (

0.11)

54.23% (

-0.11)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46% (

0.1)

17.54% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.93% (

0.17)

48.07% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 34.42%

Sporting Lisbon 42.61%

Draw 22.96%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.7% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 42.61%