Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.