Champions League
Feb 19, 2025 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park
  • Emre Can 73' goal
  • Marcel Sabitzer 74' yellowcard

Borussia Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 3 Dortmund

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 3 Dortmund

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.5%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 34.42% (-0.03)
Draw 22.97% (-0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 42.61% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.9% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.81% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 36.2% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 41.69% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 58.31% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 23.51% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 76.49% (-0.17)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5 78.7% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 21.3% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 45.77% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 54.23% (-0.12)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 82.46% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 17.54% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 51.93% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 48.07% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 34.42%
Draw 22.96%
Sporting Lisbon 42.61%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 34.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.77% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.96%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.93% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.21% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 42.61%

Head to Head

Champions League
Feb 11, 2025 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 78' yellowcard
  • goal Serhou Guirassy 60'
  • yellowcard Serhou Guirassy 66'
  • goal Pascal Gross 68'
  • goal Karim Adeyemi 82'
Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Pedro Goncalves 30' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 39' goal
  • Joao Palhinha 55' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 57' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 74' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 74' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 74' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 81' goal
  • Antonio Adan 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 74'
  • yellowcard Dan-Axel Zagadou 74'
  • redcard Emre Can 74'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 79'
  • goal Donyell Malen 90'+3'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Donyell Malen 37' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 42' yellowcard
  • Mats Hummels 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 42'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'
Champions League
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adrian Ramos 0' goal
  • Raphael Guerreiro 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Semedo 11'
  • yellowcard Luc Castaignos 20'
  • yellowcard Marvin Zeegelaar 75'
Champions League
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Elias 54' yellowcard
  • Bruno Cesar 67' goal
  • Ezequiel Schelotto 68' yellowcard
  • Joel Campbell 76' yellowcard
  • Bruno Cesar 86' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 10'
  • goal Julian Weigl 43'
  • yellowcard Felix Passlack 48'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rode 76'
  • yellowcard Roman Burki 88'