Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.