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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 46.28% ( | 22.44% ( | 31.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.2% ( | 34.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.23% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( | 15.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( | 44.55% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( | 55.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-3 @ 2.09% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 31.29% |