Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 3
Dortmund

(Borussia Dortmund win 3-0 on aggregate)

Trincao (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guirassy (60'), Gross (68'), Adeyemi (82')
Guirassy (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
55.82% ( -0.07)	21.2% ( 0.01)	22.98% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 62.31% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.22% (

0.02)

35.78% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.14% (

0.02)

57.85% (

-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.17% (

-0.02)

12.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.82% (

-0.03)

39.17% (

0.03)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

0.06)

28.52% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

0.07)

64.29% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 55.82%

Borussia Dortmund 22.98%

Draw 21.2%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 55.82%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.2%	1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 22.98%