Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.82%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 22.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.