Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 22

Feb 15, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
2 - 0
Dortmund

Masouras (33', 35')
Bernardo (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum
Sunday, February 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, February 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
27.79% ( 0.86)	22.3% ( 0.02)	49.9% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.63% (

0.58)

36.36% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.5% (

0.63)

58.5% (

-0.63)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72% (

0.88)

25.28% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

1.2)

60.04% (

-1.2)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

-0.09)

14.9% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.73% (

-0.17)

43.26% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 27.79%

Borussia Dortmund 49.9%

Draw 22.3%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.79%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 49.9%