Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.9%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.