Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 16, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
1 - 1
AVS

Tiknaz (62')
Richards (56'), Clayton (57'), Bondoso (75'), Tiknaz (83'), Miszta (90'), Neto (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mercado (32')
Assuncao (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	AVS
43.7% ( -0.05)	25.84% ( 0.05)	30.45% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15% (

-0.2)

50.84% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

-0.18)

72.72% (

0.17)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

-0.11)

23.16% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

-0.16)

57.03% (

0.16)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.18% (

-0.1)

30.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.91% (

-0.12)

67.09% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 43.69%

AVS 30.45%

Draw 25.83%

Rio Ave	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.69%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.45%