Primeira Liga
Gameweek
21
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-
Jose Fontan
71'
-
Clayton
57'
-
Tiago Morais
90'+6'
Arouca vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Arouca
40.04%
▼
(-0.19)
Draw
27.46%
▲
(+0.23)
Rio Ave
32.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
48.95%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.4%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 2.5
56.6%
▲
(+0.87)
Over 3.5
22.43%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 3.5
77.57%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 4.5
9.77%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
90.23%
▲
(+0.43)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
72.34%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 0.5
27.66%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
36.79%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 1.5
63.21%
▲
(+0.66)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
67.67%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
32.33%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
31.16%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 1.5
68.84%
▲
(+0.54)
Score analysis
Arouca
40.04%
Draw
27.45%
Rio Ave
32.49%
Arouca
1-0
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.04%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.04%
Draw
1-1
@
12.97%
▲
(+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
Rio Ave
0-1
@
10.09%
▲
(+0.20)
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.49%
1-2 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.49%