Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Rio Ave

Arouca
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Fontan (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morais (90+6')
Clayton (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-1 Sao Joao Ver
Thursday, February 6 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AroucaDrawRio Ave
40.04% (-0.187 -0.19)27.46% (0.225 0.22)32.5% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.95% (-0.685 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (-0.863 -0.86)56.6% (0.861 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (-0.7 -0.7)77.57% (0.699 0.7)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)27.66% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-0.662 -0.66)63.21% (0.66 0.66)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (-0.467 -0.47)32.33% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (-0.533 -0.53)68.84% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 40.04%
    Rio Ave 32.49%
    Draw 27.45%
AroucaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.195 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.7% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.49%

How you voted: Arouca vs Rio Ave

Arouca
45.5%
Draw
40.9%
Rio Ave
13.6%
44
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 4
Rio Ave
1-0
Arouca
Clayton (43' pen.)
Freire (39'), Clayton (83')

Faria Camara Lamba (38'), Mantl (39'), Rodrigues (90+5')
> Preview
Jul 20, 2024 11am
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
3-2
Arouca
Apr 19, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Rio Ave
1-1
Arouca
Joca (36')
Nobrega (45'), Tanlongo (70'), Manuel (90+1')
Mujica (47')
Sylla (42'), Weverson (78'), Bambu (90+5')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Arouca
2-2
Rio Ave
Cristo (50'), Jason (62')
Sylla (1')
Aderlan (5'), Boateng (29')
Oudrhiri (26'), Luiz (59'), Aderlan (69'), Graca (85'), Ronaldo (88')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2023 8.30pm
Second Round
Arouca
2-0
Rio Ave
Kouassi (24'), Mujica (67')
Fernandes (31'), Jason (72'), Galovic (75'), Quaresma (84')

Costinha (22')