Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Nacional

Santa Clara
1 - 0
Nacional

Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa (3')
Ferreira (45+2'), Venancio (60'), MT (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Soumare (16'), Soumare (16'), Joel (64')
Soumare (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
62.11% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)22.85%15.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.96% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.49% (0.046999999999997 0.05)54.51% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)75.87% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)17.13% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)47.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.064 0.06)48.15% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.045999999999999 0.05)83.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 62.09%
    Nacional 15.04%
    Draw 22.84%
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 14.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 62.09%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 15.04%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
2-0
Santa Clara
Aguiar Tomich (9'), Macedo (13' pen.)
Ulisses (24'), Thomas (49'), Dias (74'), Franca (80')

Ramos (43'), Rocha (43'), Safira (50'), Klismahn (54'), Adriano (64'), Silva (74'), Lima (87')
> Preview
Jan 11, 2024 6pm
Round of 16
Santa Clara
1-1
Nacional
(Aggregate 1-1 | Santa Clara win 4-2 on penalties)
Klismahn (111')
Lima (25'), Serginho (30'), Manuel Velazquez (77')
Dudu (120+3' pen.)
Marakis (98'), Esteves (106')
> Preview
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
5-1
Nacional
Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')