Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 0
Nacional

Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa (3')
Ferreira (45+2'), Venancio (60'), MT (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Soumare (16'), Soumare (16'), Joel (64')
Soumare (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Nacional
62.11% ( -0.02)	22.85%	15.04% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.96% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49% (

0.05)

54.51% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.13% (

0.04)

75.87% (

-0.04)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

0.01)

17.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64% (

0.02)

47.36% (

-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.85% (

0.06)

48.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.66% (

0.05)

83.34% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 62.09%

Nacional 15.04%

Draw 22.84%

Santa Clara	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 62.09%	1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.84%	0-1 @ 6.03% 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.04%