Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Paulinho 25' yellowcard
  • Dudu 45'+4' goal
  • Daniel Penha 52' goal
  • Isaac Aguiar Tomich 81' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Garcia 83' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Lacximicant 4'
  • yellowcard Felix Bacher 39'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+2'
  • goal Felix Bacher 90'+3'

Nacional vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 3.30pm
Farense 0 - 2 Nacional
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 3.30pm
Estoril 2 - 1 Boavista
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 35.45% (-0.56)
Draw 25.19% (+0.07)
Estoril Praia 39.36% (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.95% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.36% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 46.64% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 31.09% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 68.91% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 15.43% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 84.57% (+0.25)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 74.41% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 25.58% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 39.54% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 60.46% (+0.67)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 23.47% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 42.52% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 57.48% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Nacional 35.45%
Draw 25.18%
Estoril Praia 39.36%
Nacional
1-0 @ 8.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 35.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.18%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 8.7% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 8.6% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.31% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.16% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.36%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Pedro Alvaro 5' yellowcard
  • Joao Carvalho 19' goal
  • Michel 52' yellowcard
  • redcard Ulisses 65'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 69'
Taca da Liga
Jul 25, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Bryan Rochez 36' goal
  • yellowcard 25'
  • goal Miguel Crespo 57'
  • goal Joao Carlos 90'
Primeira Liga
Apr 9, 2017 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carlinhos 19' yellowcard
  • Lopes Mano 49' yellowcard
  • Dankler 71' yellowcard
  • Matheus Indio 93' yellowcard
  • goal Zizo 77'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 88'
  • yellowcard Adriano Facchini 92'
Primeira Liga
Nov 26, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Washington 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ali Ghazal 9' (OG)
  • yellowcard Ailton 29'
  • yellowcard Oumar Diakhite 49'
  • yellowcard Joel 52'
  • yellowcard Mattheus 81'
Primeira Liga
Apr 10, 2016 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tiquinho Soares 37' goal
  • Salvador Agra 47' goal
  • Nene Bonilha 55' goal
  • Witi 63' goal
  • goal Marion 79'
Primeira Liga
Dec 6, 2015 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leo Bonatini 87' goal
  • Diego 92' yellowcard
  • goal Salvador Agra 55'