Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Benfica
Mar 8, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Nacional
  • Zeki Amdouni 5' goal
  • Orkun Kokcu 23' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 19'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Aurelio 88'

Benfica vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 6.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 Boavista
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 1 Famalicao
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Daniel Penha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 5.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 4-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 83.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 11.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Nacional 5.56% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.94% ▲ (+0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.04% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 2.5 28.95% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 50.08% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 3.5 49.92% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 4.5 30.81% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 4.5 69.19% ▼ (-0.52)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 94.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 5.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 80% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 20% ▼ (-0.19)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 49.41% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 0.5 50.59% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 1.5 14.93% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 85.06% ▼ (-0.51)

Score analysis

Benfica 83.41%
Draw 11.02%
Nacional 5.56%
Benfica
2-0 @ 11.35% ▼ (-0.22)
3-0 @ 11.33% ▼ (-0.17)
4-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.07)
5-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.08)
6-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.07)
6-1 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.05)
7-0 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 83.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 11.02%
Nacional
1-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 5.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Nacional
Dec 19, 2024 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
Benfica
  • Jose Gomes 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Djibril Soumare 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vangelis Pavlidis 16'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 45'+3'
  • goal Angel di Maria 59'
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 62'
  • goal Angel di Maria 74'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 84'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Nacional
May 11, 2021 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Benfica
  • Pedrao 8' goal
  • Joao Vigario 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 34'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 55'
  • goal Pedrao 78' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 80'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 81'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 86'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Benfica
Jan 25, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Nacional
  • Chiquinho 14' goal
  • Jardel 71' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Rochez 48'
  • yellowcard Pedrao 80'
  • yellowcard Ruben Micael 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Benfica
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
10
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Nacional
  • Alex Grimaldo 1' goal
  • Andreas Samaris 20' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 21' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 27' goal
  • Joao Felix 50' goal
  • Pizzi 54' goal
  • Francisco Ferreira 56' goal
  • Ruben Dias 64' goal
  • Jonas 85' goal
  • Rafa Silva 88' goal
  • Jonas 90' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Nacional
Sep 2, 2018 6.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Benfica
  • Sergio Marakis 34' yellowcard
  • goal Haris Seferovic 28'
  • goal Eduardo Salvio 45'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 49'
  • yellowcard Jardel 51'
  • yellowcard Franco Cervi 68'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 76'
  • goal Rafa Silva 93'
Primeira Liga
Benfica
Feb 5, 2017 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Nacional
  • Jonas 26' goal
  • Jonas 33' yellowcard
  • Jonas 35' goal
  • Ederson 59' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Mitroglou 81' goal
  • yellowcard Washington 34'
  • yellowcard Dejan Mezga 43'
  • yellowcard Tiago Rodrigues 52'
  • yellowcard Zequinha 56'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 60'

Form Data

Benfica 0 - 1 Barcelona
Benfica 1 - 0 Braga
Benfica 3 - 0 Boavista
Benfica 3 - 3 Monaco
Santa Clara 0 - 1 Benfica
Monaco 0 - 1 Benfica
Nacional 2 - 1 Famalicao
Braga 1 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 2 - 2 Estoril
Farense 0 - 2 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 2 Arouca
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 0 Nacional